Interest Rate Histograms
The starting point of the platform: for each interest rate in the survey, six histograms — one per forecast quarter — showing how the panel’s opinions are distributed. Every figure shown is the MIDAS weekly version of the monthly survey, and panel members appear only as numbers.
Rates Covered
15
Short to long term
Forecast Quarters
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Histograms per rate
Panel Members
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Anonymised
Weekly Runs
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MIDAS vintages
Six-Quarter Rate Histograms
MIDAS weekly version · week of — · 0 of 0 panel members
No weekly distribution available for Fed Funds.
What you are looking at
The underlying survey is published monthly. We do not display those published numbers. MIDAS turns each panel member's monthly quarterly forecast into a weekly series, and it is that weekly model output — refreshed every week — which is plotted here. For the week you select, each member's six quarterly levels are carried forward by that member's own MIDAS-estimated move since the anchor level.
Panel members are identified by number only. The mapping between a number and an institution is kept outside the application and is never sent to the browser.
Reading the six panels together is the core idea: at six quarters out opinion is diffuse and often multimodal, and it tightens toward a single peak as the horizon shortens. The point at which that consensus forms is the signal.